blog: bets for 2027
In the spirit of November and early Christmas decorations, I am writing some model research / startup bets for 2027:
For short term:
- Latent space & emergence of generalizability
- Training environment and more careful design of data
- Along with that, understanding of the data (JEPA style papers)
- Safety research (a lot of ngmi slop rn, hard to say)
For long term:
- I really really want there to be a continually deployed & trained on device personal agent, might have it in 2027
- Alignment in a “bitter lesson” way that’s not brute forcing hierarchies and harnesses onto the model
- Deep learning & more systematic understanding of reward
Ngmi ideas:
- Weight editing, hard to do at the scale of astra/fable also another huge blackbox
- Non-big labs doing RSI
And of course, inference optimizations and AI4S will just keep getting better.
Excited to come back and see how these play out.